Hurricane Forecasting Improvements – No More Excuses for Inaction
- The areas of damage can be extensive, but forecasts often discuss the “eye” of the storm instead of the entire scope of wind and rain impact. Whether this storm’s eye makes landfall in Myrtle Beach or Wilmington matters to those residents only by degree. The hurricane prediction states there will be damaging wind and rain across all of the Carolinas.
- Landfall – the point on the US coast where the eye strikes – is widely discussed, but what happens next? Hurricane Camille (1969) made “landfall” along the Louisiana-Mississippi border, went up the Mississippi River and turned east, and, as a tropical depression, killed 113 people in Virginia, mostly in the Blue Ridge Mountains far from the coast.
- Hurricane prediction used to be notoriously inaccurate. However, the increasing accuracy of today’s predictions must not be dismissed with the cavalier attitude that remains popular, especially among those who grew up in the days of inaccurate forecasts.
- It takes longer than you think it will to evacuate, or to store up the proper supplies and harden your facility against a storm. Longer, still, if you don’t have a plan, or haven’t practiced it recently.
Either Way, The Cost Adds Up
- We don’t believe the forecast
- We don’t know how to do it
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